Oiram18 asks:

When will Mexico publicly announce that it has restored diplomatic relations with Ecuador?

Started Apr 12, 2024 05:00PM
Closed Aug 24, 2024 07:01AM (5 months ago)

Mexico broke off diplomatic relations with Ecuador after Ecuadorian police forcefully entered the Mexican embassy in Quito to arrest a former vice president wanted on corruption charges (The Hill, Mexico Ministry of Foreign Affairs, US News & World Report).

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The question closed "Not before 24 August 2024" with a closing date of 24 August 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 11 May 2024 0%
Between 11 May 2024 and 24 June 2024 0%
Between 25 June 2024 and 23 August 2024 1%
Not before 24 August 2024 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185
Number of Forecasts 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 538
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.005259
3.
-0.005074
4.
-0.004171
5.
-0.003592

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 12, 2024 11:45AM PDT (134 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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