Oiram18 asks:
When will Mexico publicly announce that it has restored diplomatic relations with Ecuador?
Started
Apr 12, 2024 05:00PM
Closed Aug 24, 2024 07:01AM (5 months ago)
Closed Aug 24, 2024 07:01AM (5 months ago)
Challenges
Mexico broke off diplomatic relations with Ecuador after Ecuadorian police forcefully entered the Mexican embassy in Quito to arrest a former vice president wanted on corruption charges (The Hill, Mexico Ministry of Foreign Affairs, US News & World Report).
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The question closed "Not before 24 August 2024" with a closing date of 24 August 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 11 May 2024 | 0% | |
Between 11 May 2024 and 24 June 2024 | 0% | |
Between 25 June 2024 and 23 August 2024 | 1% | |
Not before 24 August 2024 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 21 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
Number of Forecasts | 72 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 538 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 12, 2024 11:45AM PDT (134 days before close, question was 0% complete)