Supak asks:
How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2024 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Closed Dec 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Researchers at Colorado State University have predicted an "extremely active" Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2024 to 30 November 2024 (NBC News, Colorado State University - 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2024 and the outcome determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center no later than 16 December 2024 (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports).
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The question closed "Between 10 and 12" with a closing date of 1 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 3 or fewer | 0% | |
| Between 4 and 6 | 0% | |
| Between 7 and 9 | 0% | |
| Between 10 and 12 | 99% | |
| Between 13 and 15 | 2% | |
| 16 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 49 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 584 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
