Will China officially declare an Air-Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over any part of the South China Sea before 1 October 2016?
Started
Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM (8 years ago)
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM (8 years ago)
This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 9/30 2016.
An extension of the existing East China Sea ADIZ to cover part of the South China Sea would count. For more information on air defense identification zones and the conflict in the South China Sea, see Financial Times 1, Financial Times 2, Foreign Policy, Voice of America.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 10.00% | |
No | 90.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
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Number of Forecasters | 672 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
Number of Forecasts | 3224 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
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- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 15, 2015 5:42PM PDT (381 days before close, question was 0% complete)