Who will win the election for North Carolina's 1st Congressional District in 2024?
Started
Apr 19, 2024 05:00PM
Closed Nov 5, 2024 08:01AM (4 months ago)
Closed Nov 5, 2024 08:01AM (4 months ago)
Challenges
All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The Democratic Party candidate | 71% | |
| The Republican Party candidate | 29% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 182 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 93 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 530 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 19, 2024 2:22PM PDT (200 days before close, question was 0% complete)