UBS asks:
Will the US win 39 or more gold medals in the 2024 Summer Olympics?
Started
Apr 24, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
As of April 2024, Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table forecasts the US will win 39 gold medals at the 2024 Olympic Games (Nielsen, MSN [Reuters]). The Paris 2024 Olympic Games are scheduled for 26 July through 11 August 2024 (Paris 2024).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 11 August 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74% | |
| No | 26% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 92 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 343 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
