What will be the unofficial US dollar to Iran rial exchange rate on 25 October 2024, according to Bonbast?

Started Apr 26, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Iran's currency has weakened considerably in recent years due to sanctions, geopolitical tensions, and other factors (CNBC, AP, Iran International). The question will be suspended on 24 October 2024 and the outcome determined using chart data as reported by Bonbast (Bonbast, confirm that "Currency" is set to "USD: US Dollar" and hover your cursor over the chart for data). Bonbast reports data in "toman," which equals ten rial, so a chart value of 64,000 equates to 640,000 rials. If data are not reported for 25 October 2024, the previous day's value will be used for resolution.

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The question closed "At least 620,000, but less than 660,000" with a closing date of 26 October 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 620,000 1%
At least 620,000, but less than 660,000 6%
At least 660,000, but less than 700,000 68%
At least 700,000, but less than 740,000 22%
At least 740,000, but less than 790,000 2%
At least 790,000, but less than 850,000 1%
At least 850,000, but less than 920,000 1%
920,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 233
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.054627
2.
-0.04252
3.
-0.040744
4.
-0.037423
5.
-0.013517

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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