SE_Meyer asks:
Will Ramzan Kadyrov cease to be the Head of the Chechen Republic before 1 November 2024?
Closed Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Reports of health problems for Kadyrov, the Head of the Chechen Republic and close ally of Vladimir Putin, have led to speculation that he may leave the position or be replaced (Moscow Times, Politico, Guardian). The Head of the Chechen Republic is an office akin to a presidency (Constitution of Chechnya via Archive.org, see Article 63 [in Russian]). Any temporary exercise of the Head of the Chechen Republic's duties by others according to Article 76 would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 50 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 181 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
