What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the US Senate election for Texas in 2024?
Started
Apr 26, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is set to face Democratic US Representative Colin Allred this November (AP, FiveThirtyEight).
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The question closed "53.0% or more" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% or less and will not win the election | 15% | |
| 50.0% or less but will win the election | 17% | |
| More than 50.0% but less than 53.0% | 57% | |
| 53.0% or more | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 38 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 151 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
