UBS asks:
What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 2 August 2024?
Closed Aug 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 1 August 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 19 April 2024, the yield was 4.62%.
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The question closed "Less than 3.90%" with a closing date of 2 August 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.90% | 4% | |
| At least 3.90%, but less than 4.15% | 78% | |
| At least 4.15%, but less than 4.40% | 18% | |
| At least 4.40%, but less than 4.65% | 0% | |
| At least 4.65%, but less than 4.90% | 0% | |
| At least 4.90%, but less than 5.15% | 0% | |
| At least 5.15%, but less than 5.40% | 0% | |
| At least 5.40%, but less than 5.65% | 0% | |
| 5.65% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 52 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 300 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 540 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
