UBS asks:

What will be the median rent in Chicago, Illinois, as of 16 August 2024, according to Zillow?

Started May 08, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Zillow, a real estate technology firm, regularly reports changes in the rental markets of various large cities in the US (Zillow). The question will be suspended on 15 August 2024 and the outcome determined using Market Summary data as reported by Zillow's Rental Manager once the data are first updated for 16 August 2024 or thereafter (Zillow Rental Manager - Chicago, IL). The figure under "Median Rent" in the "Market Summary" at the top will be used, irrespective of what may be shown on the other charts on the page.

This question is part of the 2024 UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least $1,925, but less than $2,000" with a closing date of 16 August 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,850 0%
At least $1,850, but less than $1,925 0%
At least $1,925, but less than $2,000 79%
At least $2,000, but less than $2,075 21%
At least $2,075, but less than $2,150 0%
$2,150 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 168
Number of Forecasts 177
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 438
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.075667
3.
-0.063126
4.
-0.047715
5.
-0.047018

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username