UBS asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 16 August 2024?
Closed Aug 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 15 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
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The question closed "At least 5,400, but less than 5,600" with a closing date of 16 August 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 4,200 | 0% | |
| At least 4,200, but less than 4,400 | 0% | |
| At least 4,400, but less than 4,600 | 3% | |
| At least 4,600, but less than 4,800 | 1% | |
| At least 4,800, but less than 5,000 | 0% | |
| At least 5,000, but less than 5,200 | 1% | |
| At least 5,200, but less than 5,400 | 10% | |
| At least 5,400, but less than 5,600 | 74% | |
| At least 5,600, but less than 5,800 | 10% | |
| At least 5,800, but less than 6,000 | 1% | |
| 6,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 521 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
