ALabinsky asks:
What will be voter turnout in France for the 2024 European Parliamentary elections?
Closed Jun 09, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As European Parliamentary elections approach, a recent poll indicates a high degree of ignorance and indifference among the electorate in France (France 24). The question will be suspended on 8 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the EU (EU Elections). The election is scheduled to take place 8-9 June 2024, depending on where a person votes (Service-Public.fr [in French]).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least 48%, but less than 54%" with a closing date of 9 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 42% | 8% | |
At least 42%, but less than 48% | 54% | |
At least 48%, but less than 54% | 38% | |
At least 54%, but less than 60% | 1% | |
60% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 20 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 46 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |