UBS asks:

What will be the closing value of the US dollar to Japanese yen exchange rate on 9 August 2024?

Started May 16, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 09, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The Japanese yen has weakened substantially against the US dollar in 2024, and market observers are not sure how far the Bank of Japan may go to defend its currency (CNBC, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The question will be suspended on 8 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported in the US by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set to "6M"). On 9 May 2024, the closing value was 155.39.

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The question closed "At least 145, but less than 150" with a closing date of 9 August 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 140 0%
At least 140, but less than 145 12%
At least 145, but less than 150 86%
At least 150, but less than 155 2%
At least 155, but less than 160 0%
At least 160, but less than 165 0%
At least 165, but less than 170 0%
170 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 38
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 289
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.293659
2.
-0.205398
3.
-0.146406
4.
-0.120616
5.
-0.105423

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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