What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 4 November 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Started
May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Gas prices in the US are expected to weigh on the 2024 presidential campaign (Yahoo, The Hill). The question will be suspended on 3 November 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 4 November 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
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The question closed "At least $2.90, but less than $3.20" with a closing date of 4 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.60 | 1% | |
| At least $2.60, but less than $2.90 | 1% | |
| At least $2.90, but less than $3.20 | 95% | |
| At least $3.20, but less than $3.50 | 2% | |
| At least $3.50, but less than $3.80 | 1% | |
| At least $3.80, but less than $4.10 | 0% | |
| At least $4.10, but less than $4.40 | 0% | |
| At least $4.40, but less than $4.70 | 0% | |
| $4.70 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 253 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
