What will be the net change in the United States' coal-fired power capacity (Gigawatts, or GW) in 2024 as compared to 2023, according to Global Energy Monitor (GEM)?

Started May 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The US has reduced its reliance on coal for power generation, which has raised concerns over adequate electricity supplies (Yahoo [Oil Price], E&E News). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by GEM (GEM). On the dashboard page, change "Select a country or region" to "United States," see the "How much coal capacity has been added and retired?" chart, and click "Download annual capacity change data" for an xlsx file with the data). As of the launch of this question, the net change for the US in 2023 as compared to 2022 was a decrease of 9.653GW.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
A decrease of more than 20GW 0.50% 0% +0.50% +0.50%
A decrease of more than 15GW, but at most 20GW 0.50% 0% +0.50% +0.50%
A decrease of more than 10GW, but at most 15GW 0.60% 0% +0.50% +0.50%
A decrease of more than 5GW, but at most 10GW 2.70% 0% +0.60% +0.50%
A decrease of more than 0GW, but at most 5GW 91.30% 0% -2.60% -2.50%
No change or an increase 4.40% 0% +0.50% +0.50%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username