Before 28 September 2024, will the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) schedule a worker's election on unionization for the Hyundai Motor Manufacturing Alabama (HMMA) plant?

Started May 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The United Auto Workers (UAW) union has been campaigning to unionize various foreign auto manufacturer facilities in the US, including the HMMA plant in Montgomery, Alabama (Korea Economic Daily, WSFA, AL.com). The question will close early upon an NLRB-sponsored election on union representation being held for the HMMA employees (suspended on the last day of the election), and an election announced before 28 September 2024 but scheduled to be held after 28 September 2024 will count and the closing date will be adjusted accordingly. The outcome will be determined based on the outcome of the election as first reported, irrespective of subsequent appeals as to the election.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and the workers will vote in the affirmative for unionization 5%
Yes, but the workers will not vote in the affirmative for unionization 5%
No 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 18
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 85
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.547248
2.
-0.487831
3.
-0.199169
4.
-0.157524
5.
-0.02529

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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