Will Moody's downgrade its long-term credit rating for the United States before 16 November 2024?
Closed Nov 16, 2024 08:01AM UTC
On 10 November 2023, Moody's Investor Service (Moody's) changed its ratings outlook to negative, citing higher interest rates and fiscal deficits (The Hill, CNBC). Moody's, one of the "Big Three" global credit rating agencies that assigns ratings on a borrower's likelihood of repaying its debts, was the only member of the Big Three to have a AAA rating for the US as of the launch of this question (Investopedia, Trading Economics).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 16 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 74 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
