Salva Kiir has been president of South Sudan since the country became independent in July 2011 (BBC), but his government has been fighting a civil war against forces led by his former vice president, Riek Machar, since late 2013 (US Institute of Peace). In the event that Kiir reportedly disappears or flees the capital, GJI will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Kiir returns in the interim, the question will remain open. _{Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.}

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_{If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on the president of Zimbabwe or the president of Burundi.}

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Salva Kiir remains President of South Sudan. This question closed as “b) No,” with and end date of 1 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

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