What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2024?
Closed Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The US inflation rate fell slightly in April 2024 to about 3.4%, though still higher than the Federal Reserve's target of 2% (USA Today, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for September 2024 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in October 2024 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for September 2023 was 3.69406%.
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The question closed "Up by at least 2.400%, but less than 3.000%" with a closing date of 1 October 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 1.200% or down | 0% | |
| Up by at least 1.200%, but less than 1.800% | 0% | |
| Up by at least 1.800%, but less than 2.400% | 53% | |
| Up by at least 2.400%, but less than 3.000% | 44% | |
| Up by at least 3.000%, but less than 3.600% | 3% | |
| Up at least 3.600%, but less than 4.200% | 0% | |
| Up by 4.200% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 52 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 253 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
