What will be the spot price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 30 September 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

In May 2024, US oil prices were down from 2024 highs reached in April despite continued violence in the Middle East and potential OPEC+ actions (CNBC). The question will be suspended on 29 September 2024 and the outcome determined using the spot price per barrel per the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in October 2024 (FRED). On 9 May 2024, the spot price for WTI was $80.86.

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The question closed "At least $68.00, but less than $76.00" with a closing date of 30 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $60.00 2%
At least $60.00, but less than $68.00 19%
At least $68.00, but less than $76.00 76%
At least $76.00, but less than $84.00 3%
At least $84.00, but less than $92.00 0%
At least $92.00, but less than $100.00 0%
At least $100.00, but less than $108.00 0%
At least $108.00, but less than $116.00 0%
$116.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 541
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.070768
2.
-0.065873
3.
-0.053057
4.
-0.047573
5.
-0.043936

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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