Will California voters approve an increase in the state minimum wage to $18 an hour in the 2024 general election?

Started Jun 07, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Proponents of an initiative to increase the California minimum wage to $18 per hour gathered enough signatures to qualify an initiative for the ballot in 2022, though the measure would not appear until 2024 "unless withdrawn by the proponent [Joe Sanberg] prior to certification pursuant to Elections Code section 9604(b)" (Ballotpedia, California Secretary of State, Politico).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.

Possible Answer Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 84%
No 11%
The initiative will not appear on the 2024 general election ballot 5%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username