Will California voters approve an increase in the state minimum wage to $18 an hour in the 2024 general election?
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Proponents of an initiative to increase the California minimum wage to $18 per hour gathered enough signatures to qualify an initiative for the ballot in 2022, though the measure would not appear until 2024 "unless withdrawn by the proponent [Joe Sanberg] prior to certification pursuant to Elections Code section 9604(b)" (Ballotpedia, California Secretary of State, Politico).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84% | |
| No | 11% | |
| The initiative will not appear on the 2024 general election ballot | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 52 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 125 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
