Will California voters approve the California Pandemic Early Detection and Prevention Institute Initiative in the 2024 general election?
Closed Jun 28, 2024 12:00AM UTC
Supporters of an initiative to increase state personal income taxes to provide funding for pandemic detection and prevention, which included the convicted founder of FTX Sam Bankman-Fried, gathered enough signatures to qualify for the ballot in 2022, though the measure would not appear until 2024 "unless withdrawn by the proponents [Max Henderson and Anna Maybach] prior to certification pursuant to Elections Code section 9604(b)" (Ballotpedia, California Secretary of State, Yahoo [LA Times]).
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The question closed "The initiative will not appear on the 2024 general election ballot" with a closing date of 27 June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | |
| No | 31% | |
| The initiative will not appear on the 2024 general election ballot | 23% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 32 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 164 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 72 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 431 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
