What percentage of the vote will the Democratic candidate win in the US Senate election for New Jersey in 2024?
Started
Jun 07, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Representative Andy Kim won New Jersey's Democratic Senate primary on 4 June 2024, but incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Menendez, who is under indictment for corruption, has registered to run as an independent (Politico, CNN).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0% or less and will not win the election | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 50.0% or less but will win the election | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | -3.00% |
| More than 50.0% but less than 54.0% | 28.00% | 0% | -1.00% | -7.00% |
| 54.0% or more | 69.00% | 0% | +1.00% | +10.00% |