At close of business on 7 November 2024, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 18 September 2024?

Started Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its November meeting is scheduled for 6-7 November 2024.

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The question closed "Lower" with a closing date of 7 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 97%
Same 3%
Higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 164
Number of Forecasts 260
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 431
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.390686
2.
-0.36586
3.
-0.318674
4.
-0.312992
5.
-0.261811

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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