Will Garry Conille cease to be the prime minister of Haiti before 3 June 2025?

Started Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 10, 2024 08:00PM UTC

Haiti's Presidential Transition Council picked Garry Conille to be the country's new prime minister as it struggles to restore order (Deutsche Welle, Africa News).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 58%
No 42%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 64
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.231764
3.
-0.218738
4.
-0.216808
5.
-0.202553

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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