Will Jake Paul and Mike Tyson publicly engage in a boxing match in 2024?

Started Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 16, 2024 05:00AM UTC

Internet personality Jake Paul and former boxing heavyweight champion Mike Tyson were originally scheduled to have a boxing match on 20 July 2024, but the fight was rescheduled to 15 November 2024 due to Tyson having a medical issue (ESPN, Netflix). The question will close early if the fight is canceled or postponed to a date after 31 December 2024. While the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation has stated that it will sanction the fight, whether the fight is sanctioned by a regulatory authority is immaterial (ESPN).

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The question closed "Yes, but Mike Tyson will not win" with a closing date of 15 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and Mike Tyson will win 40%
Yes, but Mike Tyson will not win 55%
No 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 66
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 163
Number of Forecasts 340
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 430
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.950937
2.
-0.823836
3.
-0.673545
4.
-0.607431
5.
-0.606375

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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