ALabinsky asks:
What will be the value of Drewry’s World Container Index (WCI) on 5 December 2024?
Closed Dec 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Costs for shipping goods have jumped since Iran-backed Houthi forces began attacking commercial shipping off the coast of Yemen, and shortages of available containers themselves have exacerbated the problem (Transport Topics, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 4 December 2024 and the outcome determined using the WCI index value for 5 December 2024 as reported by Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited (Drewry, Marine Insight). On 6 June 2024, the value of the WCI was $4,716.
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The question closed "At least $3,400, but less than $4,000" with a closing date of 5 December 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $1,600 | 0% | |
| At least $1,600, but less than $2,200 | 0% | |
| At least $2,200, but less than $2,800 | 0% | |
| At least $2,800, but less than $3,400 | 84% | |
| At least $3,400, but less than $4,000 | 15% | |
| At least $4,000, but less than $4,700 | 1% | |
| At least $4,700, but less than $5,400 | 0% | |
| At least $5,400, but less than $6,200 | 0% | |
| At least $6,200, but less than $7,000 | 0% | |
| At least $7,000, but less than $7,900 | 0% | |
| At least $7,900, but less than $8,800 | 0% | |
| At least $8,800, but less than $9,700 | 0% | |
| $9,700 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 31 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 292 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
