ALabinsky asks:
What will be the value of Drewry’s World Container Index (WCI) on 5 December 2024?
Started
Jun 21, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Costs for shipping goods have jumped since Iran-backed Houthi forces began attacking commercial shipping off the coast of Yemen, and shortages of available containers themselves have exacerbated the problem (Transport Topics, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 4 December 2024 and the outcome determined using the WCI index value for 5 December 2024 as reported by Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited (Drewry, Marine Insight). On 6 June 2024, the value of the WCI was $4,716.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1,600 | 1.00% | 0% | +1.00% | 0% |
| At least $1,600, but less than $2,200 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | -5.00% |
| At least $2,200, but less than $2,800 | 2.00% | 0% | -5.00% | -20.00% |
| At least $2,800, but less than $3,400 | 40.00% | +1.00% | +8.00% | -4.00% |
| At least $3,400, but less than $4,000 | 44.00% | -1.00% | -2.00% | +26.00% |
| At least $4,000, but less than $4,700 | 7.00% | 0% | -3.00% | -1.00% |
| At least $4,700, but less than $5,400 | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | +1.00% |
| At least $5,400, but less than $6,200 | 2.00% | 0% | +1.00% | +2.00% |
| At least $6,200, but less than $7,000 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | +1.00% |
| At least $7,000, but less than $7,900 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $7,900, but less than $8,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $8,800, but less than $9,700 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| $9,700 or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |