Jufda asks:
Which of the following tech companies will first reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion?
Closed Dec 17, 2024 09:00PM UTC
The race for artificial intelligence has led to three US tech companies each reaching a $3 trillion market capitalization as of the launch of this question (MSN [Barron's], Yahoo [Bloomberg], Investopedia - Market Capitalization). The question will be suspended on 19 June 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as provided by CNBC (CNBC - Apple, CNBC - Microsoft, CNBC - NVIDIA). If two or more of the companies reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion on the same day, the question will close for the company with the higher or highest closing market capitalization on that date.
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The question closed "Apple" with a closing date of 17 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Apple | 79% | |
| Microsoft | 6% | |
| NVIDIA | 13% | |
| None of these companies will reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion before 21 June 2025 | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 68 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 568 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
