Jufda asks:
Which of the following tech companies will first reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion?
Closing Jun 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The race for artificial intelligence has led to three US tech companies each reaching a $3 trillion market capitalization as of the launch of this question (MSN [Barron's], Yahoo [Bloomberg], Investopedia - Market Capitalization). The question will be suspended on 19 June 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as provided by CNBC (CNBC - Apple, CNBC - Microsoft, CNBC - NVIDIA). If two or more of the companies reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion on the same day, the question will close for the company with the higher or highest closing market capitalization on that date.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 21.44% | -1.28% | -1.40% | -24.56% |
| Microsoft | 4.76% | +0.04% | -0.20% | -3.24% |
| NVIDIA | 68.88% | +0.28% | +0.80% | +37.88% |
| None of these companies will reach a closing market capitalization of $3.8 trillion before 21 June 2025 | 4.92% | +0.96% | +0.80% | -10.08% |