How many gold medals will China win in the 2024 Olympics?
Started
Jun 21, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
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China is expected to be a top competitor at the 2024 Paris Olympics, though its image has been tarnished by a new doping scandal (NBC New York, AP). The 2024 Paris Olympics are scheduled for 26 July through 11 August 2024 (Olympics.com). Whether an athlete is stripped of a medal after the conclusion of the 2024 Olympics is immaterial.
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The question closed "38 or more" with a closing date of 10 August 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 25 or fewer | 0% | |
| Between 26 and 29 | 2% | |
| Between 30 and 33 | 8% | |
| Between 34 and 37 | 60% | |
| 38 or more | 30% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 28 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 164 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 170 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 431 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
