When will NATO and/or a NATO member state publicly accuse Republic of Serbia national military forces and/or law enforcement of either entering Kosovo without authorization or firing a weapon or weapons into Kosovo?
Started
Jun 28, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tensions in Kosovo escalated into violence in 2023 and have remained high into 2024 (AP, PBS, US News & World Report, Politico). For the purposes of this question, "firing weapons into Kosovo" means the shooting of bullets, artillery shells, rockets, offensive drones, or other munitions into the territory or airspace of Kosovo. The entering of forces or firing of weapons and the accusation of such must take place in the question's open period to count.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 1 October 2024 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Between 1 October 2024 and 31 December 2024 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.50% |
| Between 1 January 2025 and 31 March 2025 | 3.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% | -2.00% |
| Not before 1 April 2025 | 96.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% | +2.50% |