What will President Biden's approval rating be as of 2 August 2024, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed Aug 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 1 August 2024 and the outcome determined using "All polls" chart data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of the launch of this question, Biden's approval rating on 21 June 2024 was 39.5%. The data for 2 August 2024 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 7 August 2024.
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The question closed "At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0%" with a closing date of 2 August 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 30.0% | 0% | |
| At least 30.0%, but less than 32.0% | 0% | |
| At least 32.0%, but less than 34.0% | 1% | |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% | 1% | |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% | 5% | |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 88% | |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 4% | |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 1% | |
| 44.0% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 58 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 138 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 332 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 314 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
