Who will win the election for Michigan's 8th Congressional District in 2024?

Started Jun 28, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 75%
The Republican Party candidate 25%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 88
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.183719
3.
-0.183719
4.
-0.182679
5.
-0.121478

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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