 The Economist asks
Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom?
Started
Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
General elections are not due again in the UK until 2020, but the recent court ruling requiring parliamentary approval for Brexit has prompted some calls for a snap election (Financial Times, The Telegraph, BBC, The World in 2017), and British law allows for out-of-cycle elections under certain conditions (www.parliament.uk).
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether local elections will be held in the city of Donetsk before 1 January 2017, or on which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 19 April 2017 (BBC). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether local elections will be held in the city of Donetsk before 1 January 2017, or on which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 19 April 2017 (BBC). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.00% | |
| No | 85.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1100 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1851 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
