Captbullett asks:
Will Donald Trump be sentenced to serve time in prison for his New York state conviction on falsifying business records?
Closed Sep 06, 2024 05:10PM UTC
On 30 May 2024, Trump was convicted on 34 felony charges related to falsifying business records, but the judge postponed sentencing until September 2024 as it considers the impact of a Supreme Court decision (ABC News, AP). A prison sentence fully suspended by the trial court judge will not count as being sentenced to serve time in prison (Cornell - Suspended Sentence). The question will close early if the judge in the case postpones the sentencing hearing to a date after 4 November 2024. If the judge sets aside the verdict, the question will close "No."
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The question closed "Trump will not be sentenced for the conviction before 5 November 2024" with a closing date of 6 September 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, and he will not be granted bail pending appeal | 1% | |
Yes, but he will be granted bail pending appeal | 13% | |
No | 56% | |
Trump will not be sentenced for the conviction before 5 November 2024 | 30% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 93 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 139 | |
Number of Forecasts | 208 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 315 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |