ricitron asks:

Will Israel publicly announce the beginning of a ceasefire in the whole Gaza Strip before 7 October 2024?

Started Jul 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 07, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip continue, the prospect of an escalation between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is further complicating the situation (Middle East Eye, CNN). Whether the ceasefire (i.e., a cessation of all hostilities) is unilateral or part of an agreement between belligerents is immaterial, and whether the ceasefire holds for its intended duration is immaterial. Conditional announcements (e.g., if all hostages are released) will not count.

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NOTE 5 September 2024: The announced beginning of a ceasefire must occur before 7 October 2024 (i.e., it must start before 7 October 2024).

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 26.97% -1.03% +1.18% +2.93%
No 73.03% +1.03% -1.18% -2.93%

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