Will there be a shutdown of the US federal government before 1 January 2025?
Closed Jan 1, 2025 08:01AM (2 months ago)
As of the launch of this question, appropriations for the federal government are due to expire at midnight on 1 October 2024, the beginning of the 2025 fiscal year (The Hill, Congressional Research Service, NPR). For the purposes of this question, a "shutdown of the US federal government" would mean a ceasing of operations due to a lack of funding appropriation. A partial shutdown will count (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | |
| No | 91% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 86 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 419 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
