Who will win the Democratic primary for Missouri's 1st Congressional District in 2024?

Started Jul 08, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Progressive "Squad" Representative Cori Bush is facing a major primary challenge from St. Louis prosecutor Wesley Bell (USA Today, Politico). The Democratic primary is scheduled for 6 August 2024 (Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "Wesley Bell" with a closing date of 6 August 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Wesley Bell 93%
Cori Bush 7%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 29
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 139
Number of Forecasts 73
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 315
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.216734
3.
-0.203669
4.
-0.201955
5.
-0.200548

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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