When will US total nonfarm private payrolls next decrease in a given month as compared to the preceding month, according to ADP?
Started
Jul 12, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
While the US private sector has continued to create jobs, the pace of job creation has slowed (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters], Investopedia - ADP). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data from the firm Automatic Data Processing (ADP) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Change, Persons"). Subsequent revisions will be immaterial.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between July 2024 and September 2024 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Between October 2024 and December 2024 | 4.50% | 0% | -0.80% | -10.50% |
| Between January 2025 and March 2025 | 21.00% | 0% | -1.00% | +0.10% |
| Not before April 2025 | 74.50% | 0% | +1.80% | +10.40% |