Vasu-Tripathi asks:
What will the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) propose as the renewable volume obligation (RVO) for biomass-based diesel fuel in 2026?
Closing Apr 5, 2025 07:01AM (in a day)
Biofuel market participants are lobbying the EPA to increase the biomass-based diesel RVO for 2026 to a "robust" level that would support industry growth (Biodiesel Magazine, Biomass Magazine). The EPA reportedly plans on publishing a proposed rule by March 2025 (PA Petroleum Organization). On 12 July 2023, the EPA published a final rule establishing various biofuel volume requirements for 2023 through 2025 pursuant to the Clean Air Act (Federal Register, see Table I.A.1-1, EPA, Energy Information Administration). The question will close upon a proposed rule being published by the EPA in the Federal Register (Federal Register - EPA).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.10 billion gallons | 0.70% | 0% | -0.10% | -0.10% |
| At least 3.10 billion gallons, but less than 3.35 billion gallons | 1.30% | 0% | -0.10% | -0.20% |
| At least 3.35 billion gallons, but less than 3.60 billion gallons | 2.30% | -0.30% | -1.50% | -4.10% |
| At least 3.60 billion gallons, but less than 3.85 billion gallons | 13.20% | -0.10% | -2.70% | -10.00% |
| At least 3.85 billion gallons, but less than 4.10 billion gallons | 15.50% | -3.40% | -7.00% | -13.30% |
| At least 4.10 billion gallons, but less than 4.35 billion gallons | 5.50% | -1.80% | -4.70% | -7.90% |
| At least 4.35 billion gallons, but less than 4.60 billion gallons | 2.80% | -0.10% | -3.30% | -0.80% |
| 4.60 billion gallons or more | 5.00% | -0.10% | +2.10% | +3.80% |
| A proposed rule will not be published in the Federal Register before 5 April 2025 | 53.70% | +5.80% | +17.30% | +32.60% |