Will a player seeded fourth or higher win the Women's Single Final at the 2024 US Open?

Started Jul 19, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 07, 2024 07:01AM UTC

US tennis player Coco Gauff will try to win her second consecutive US Open in 2024 (Women's Tennis Association). The 2024 US Open is scheduled from 26 August 2024 to 8 September 2024, with the Women's Final scheduled for 7 September 2024 (US Open - Schedule). For the purposes of this question, "fourth or higher" means first, second, third, or fourth.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 64%
No 36%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 22
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 139
Number of Forecasts 102
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 315
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.135048
2.
-0.133448
4.
-0.104708
5.
-0.080648

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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