SharpEdge asks:
How many debates between the Democratic Party and Republican Party presidential nominees will take place before 29 October 2024?
Closed Oct 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC
With President Biden ending his reelection bid, the future of presidential debates this election cycle is in flux (CBS News, CNBC). A debate must be in person to count, and the presence of other presidential candidates is immaterial.
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NOTE 3 August 2024: As neither Trump nor Biden were nominees of their respective parties as of the 27 June 2024 debate between the two, that debate does not count for this question.
The question closed "1" with a closing date of 29 October 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | |
| 1 | 94% | |
| 2 | 1% | |
| 3 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 139 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 531 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
