How many debates between the Democratic Party and Republican Party vice presidential nominees will take place before 29 October 2024?
Started
Jul 26, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
With President Biden ending his reelection bid, the future of presidential and vice presidential debates this election cycle is in flux (CBS News, Newscast Studio). A debate must be in person to count, and the presence of other vice presidential candidates is immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "1" with a closing date of 29 October 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
0 | 3% | |
1 | 96% | |
2 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 104 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
Number of Forecasts | 231 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |