DwightEisenhower asks:
Who will the governor of New Jersey appoint to fill the US Senate vacancy to be left by Senator Bob Menendez?
Closed Aug 16, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Senator Bob Menendez, who was convicted on various charges related to corruption in July 2024, announced that he would resign his US Senate seat effective 20 August 2024, leaving the task for appointing a replacement to finish Menendez's term to New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy (CNN, Newsweek, Patch). Phil Murphy's wife Tammy, who initially ran for the Democratic Party nomination for November's election for the seat, has reportedly taken her name out of consideration (New Jersey Globe). The Senate is expected to reconvene after its August recess on 9 September 2024 (US Senate - Tentative 2024 Schedule).
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The question closed "Someone else" with a closing date of 16 August 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Bonnie Watson Coleman | 3% | |
| Christian Fuscarino | 1% | |
| Andy Kim | 8% | |
| Jeannine LaRue | 2% | |
| Matt Platkin | 1% | |
| Tahesha Way | 7% | |
| Loretta Weinberg | 2% | |
| Nina Mitchell Wells | 3% | |
| Someone else | 72% | |
| No one will be appointed to fill a vacancy for Bob Menendez' Senate seat before 9 September 2024 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 164 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 89 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 431 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
