judel asks:
When will new Knesset elections be called in Israel?
Started
Aug 02, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
While new parliamentary elections for Israel's Knesset aren't due until 2026, various political groups in the country have called for early elections to be set (France 24, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The actual date set for new Knesset elections is immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 1 November 2024 | 7.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% | +4.50% |
| Between 1 November 2024 and 30 January 2025 | 15.00% | -1.00% | -2.00% | -2.50% |
| Between 31 January 2025 and 1 May 2025 | 18.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% | -5.50% |
| Between 2 May 2025 and 31 July 2025 | 13.00% | 0% | 0% | -3.80% |
| Not before 1 August 2025 | 47.00% | +1.00% | +2.00% | +7.30% |