How much "cash on hand" will Kamala Harris' presidential campaign have in the 2024 presidential election cycle as of 30 September 2024, according to the Federal Election Commission?
Closed Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Since replacing President Biden as the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Harris has seen more successful fundraising for her party (AP, ABC News). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the FEC once the campaign's financial reports through 30 September 2024 are published on the FEC's website, expected in October 2024 (FEC, click on the candidate's name to see "ENDING CASH ON HAND" under "Cash summary"). As of 30 June 2024, Biden (now Harris) had $95,946,483.13. A chart showing fundraising data for Harris (formerly Biden) over time is maintained by Ballotpedia (Ballotpedia, see "Cash on hand" chart). Please note that these figures do not include political action committee receipts.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least $150 million, but less than $200 million" with a closing date of 1 October 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $50 million | 0% | |
At least $50 million, but less than $100 million | 0% | |
At least $100 million, but less than $150 million | 3% | |
At least $150 million, but less than $200 million | 20% | |
At least $200 million, but less than $250 million | 59% | |
$250 million or more | 18% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 31 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
Number of Forecasts | 128 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |