LucaM asks:
How many female commissioners will be elected to the European Commission (EC) by the European Parliament (EP) in 2024?
Started
Aug 16, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 27, 2024 07:30AM UTC
Closed Nov 27, 2024 07:30AM UTC
Challenges
The EP last elected the EC on 27 November 2019, with 11 females and 15 males (France24, EP - Press Release 27 November 2019, EP - Infographic). For the purposes of this question, EC President Ursula von der Leyen is not considered to be a commissioner. If the EP has not elected the EC commissioners before 1 December 2024, the close date will be extended.
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The question closed "9 or 10" with a closing date of 26 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 9 | 0% | |
| 9 or 10 | 99% | |
| 11 or 12 | 1% | |
| 13 or 14 | 0% | |
| 15 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 19 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 120 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 424 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
