LucaM asks:
How many female commissioners will be elected to the European Commission (EC) by the European Parliament (EP) in 2024?
Started
Aug 16, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The EP last elected the EC on 27 November 2019, with 11 females and 15 males (France24, EP - Press Release 27 November 2019, EP - Infographic). For the purposes of this question, EC President Ursula von der Leyen is not considered to be a commissioner. If the EP has not elected the EC commissioners before 1 December 2024, the close date will be extended.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 9 | 2.50% | 0% | +0.10% | +0.40% |
| 9 or 10 | 88.60% | -0.40% | -0.40% | +1.00% |
| 11 or 12 | 7.60% | +0.40% | +0.30% | -1.40% |
| 13 or 14 | 0.80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 or more | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |